BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes says he will wait to buy Bitcoin until the U.S. Federal Reserve signals a return to money printing, linking future crypto gains to monetary policy. He cites escalating Middle East tensions as a short-term risk that could trigger a broad market decline, but maintains his long-term prediction that Bitcoin will reach $250,000.
Bitcoin investors are monitoring macroeconomic indicators, with the U.S. Federal Reserve and geopolitical conflicts as key focal points. Arthur Hayes argues central banks must resume money printing before Bitcoin sees its next major rally.
During a podcast, Hayes shared his market entry views, showing a preference for waiting. He considers the current situation dangerous despite Bitcoin’s recent strength.
Bitcoin currently trades near $70,000, still far from its all-time high of $126,000. The cryptocurrency market remains highly sensitive to global uncertainty.
Hayes stated, “Arthur Hayes says he will wait to buy Bitcoin (BTC) until the Federal Reserve prints more money.” He believes wars do not directly cause higher crypto values but that increased monetary supply following conflicts does.
He explained that expanded U.S. military operations would require more government funding. This could pressure the Fed to implement more flexible monetary policies.
Hayes will begin buying when the Fed indicates it will lower interest rates. He plans to remain inactive until that moment arrives.
He warned that prolonged geopolitical crisis might trigger widespread financial panic. A significant equities drop would likely pull Bitcoin down similarly.
Hayes predicted Bitcoin’s price could fall below $60,000 during market liquidations. However, he maintains a highly positive long-term outlook for the asset.
He has repeatedly predicted Bitcoin could reach $250,000 in the next major cycle. Other analysts note strong momentum in tech stocks, indicating ongoing investor risk appetite.
Hayes maintains that Bitcoin will likely soon end its period of trading below $100,000. The asset’s historical performance aligns with periods of extensive central bank policy.
