Bitcoin is currently trading within the $66,000 to $68,000 range, with analysts identifying a recurring technical signal that has preceded final bear market declines. According to crypto analyst Ali Martinez, the crossover pattern on Bitcoin’s 3-day chart has emerged again, mirroring signals from 2014, 2018, and 2022 that occurred before significant market bottoms and potential long-term accumulation windows.
Bitcoin continues to face resistance, with its price lingering between $66,000 and $68,000. A recurring technical signal has appeared on its three-day chart, centered on the crossover of its 50-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages.
Crypto analyst Ali Martinez identified that this signal has consistently emerged near the final phase of historical bear markets. In the current cycle, Bitcoin has already experienced a 52% correction following its October 2025 peak, with the SMA crossover appearing on February 27, 2026.
Martinez observed that approximately 30 days have passed since the signal emerged, placing the market in the historical window for a final decline. He referred to this as a potential “final accumulation window” that could materialize within days.
Based on prior cycles, post-crossover declines have ranged between 40% and 50%. This analysis identifies potential accumulation zones around $40,000 and a deeper scenario near $30,000.
Extending the downside analysis, on-chain analyst Willy Woo estimated a potential bottom between $46,000 and $54,000 based on legacy valuation models. Another analyst, Doctor Profit, predicted a likely bottom range between $35,000 and $45,000.
Doctor Profit stated that the market has not yet reached its cycle low. He noted that short-term upside toward the $79,000 to $84,000 range remains possible but views such moves as temporary.
