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On February 28, crypto analyst ChartNerd stated XRP fell below its 200-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA). The level, a “major macro decision point,” has historically been a key separator between long-term bull and bear markets for the asset. Sustained breaks below this indicator have often led to periods of consolidation or further downside in prior cycles.
The analyst noted the importance of observing how the price closes on weekly candles for confirmation. The level being monitored is near $1.41, and failure to reclaim it could see the price move toward even lower liquidity levels. According to CoinMarketCap data, XRP is currently trading at $1.32, down approximately 3% over 24 hours.
Technical indicators show the Relative Strength Index at 37.34, below the neutral 50 level, indicating persistent bearish momentum. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also remains in negative territory, with the main line at -0.07312 and the signal line at -0.08333.
Investors are now focused on the upcoming weekly closes to determine if XRP will consolidate and build a macro base. Reclaiming the 200-week EMA would suggest renewed structural strength, while staying below continues the risk of a bearish continuation.

