Analysts and investors are questioning XRP‘s gains chances as the token trades near $2.00 after a sharp correction from recent highs, driven by regulatory shifts and rising competition from stablecoins. Market watchers cite technical resistance and profit-taking for the pullback, while institutional reports lay out mixed future scenarios.
21Shares projects a 30% chance of XRP reaching $2.69 in 2026 under a bull case. The firm assigns a 50% probability to a $2.45 base case and outlines a bearish outcome near $1.60 if adoption stalls.
Justin Bons argued “XRP is centralized in every way.” His critique focused on validator distribution and governance limits. Nic Carter called it illegitimate, stating “It’s not a crypto, can’t be compared to Bitcoin, and has no use case.”
Ryan Selkis described XRP as a “volatile asset with little practical use today.” He says regulated stablecoins have weakened XRP’s payment utility. (Ed. note: Spot XRP ETFs have attracted nearly $1.3 billion since their November 2025 launch.)
Regulated alternatives like USDC and USDT appeal more to banks and payment providers because of lower volatility. This institutional preference complicates XRP‘s long-term outlook and its path to broader payment adoption.
Technical resistance near $2.35 and recent profit-taking pressured prices downward. Ultimately, XRP’s future depends on real payment integration and regulatory developments through 2026.

