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HomeNewsGrayscale: Ethereum and Solana Token Supply Could Plummet, Boosting Scarcity and Prices

Grayscale: Ethereum and Solana Token Supply Could Plummet, Boosting Scarcity and Prices

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Ethereum (ETH) was trading at $1,876.89 at press time, with a slight daily gain but a 2.16% weekly decline. Solana (SOL) traded at $75.16, posting a slight weekly increase and a slight daily dip. These contradictory moves indicate no clear bullish or bearish momentum, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for both assets also lacks clear directional signals. Grayscale’s Head of Research, Zach Pandl, presented an analysis suggesting Ethereum and Solana may become scarcer if their networks lower annual token issuance. Reduced inflation could boost token value if demand holds steady. By 2031, annual supply growth might drop to about 0.4% for ETH and 1.1% for SOL, nearing Bitcoin’s rate and below gold’s estimated 1.8%.


Ethereum (ETH) was trading at $1,876.89 at press time, following a slight increase over the previous day but a 2.16% decline over the previous week. Solana (SOL) was trading at $75.16, with a slight increase over the week and a slight decline over the day. These contradictory price movements imply no clear bullish or bearish momentum dominating the cryptocurrency market, which remains extremely erratic. The RSI for both ETH and SOL also showed no clear indications of bulls or bears.

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Zach Pandl, Head of Research at Grayscale, presented his analysis indicating that Ethereum and Solana may become more scarce assets due to their respective networks’ consideration of lowering the annual production of new tokens. Currently, issuing new ETH and SOL expands the total supply to fund staking rewards. Proposed modifications would decrease this inflation. Comparable to lowering commodity production, the value of existing tokens may rise if demand remains constant or increases and fewer new tokens enter the market.

According to Pandl, by 2031, the annual supply growth of ETH and SOL may drop to about 0.4% and 1.1%, respectively, bringing them closer to Bitcoin’s supply growth and below gold’s estimated 1.8% annual supply growth. For stakers, there is a trade-off. People who stake their tokens will receive fewer tokens as rewards if fewer new ETH and SOL are created. After a decrease in inflation, for instance, a staker who earns 5 SOL might only receive 3 SOL. Yet, the value of those three SOL might still surpass the value of the initial five SOL if the decreased supply makes SOL more scarce and its price rises noticeably. Therefore, stakers must weigh the potential for higher token prices against lower token rewards, while unstaked holders may directly profit from increased scarcity. These proposals remain under debate and do not guarantee changes.

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