According to a recent crypto market analysis, Bitcoin’s bear market is potentially entering its final phase, with a price bottom projected around the time of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The report suggests a mix of technical patterns, weak sentiment, and easing inflation could set the stage for recovery, with a target bottom zone between $50,000 and $55,000. Bitcoin is currently trading well below its recent highs, having recently touched a near two-year low.
A crypto research firm reports Bitcoin’s bear market could bottom during the 2026 FIFA World Cup, which runs from June 11 to July 19. Its main thesis is that a mix of technical patterns, weak market sentiment, and easing inflation pressure could set the stage for the next big BTC recovery.
The analysis stated Bitcoin has been following an A-B-C structure since October 2025. It now believes the market is in the final Wave C correction, targeting a bottom between $50,000 and $55,000.
On sentiment, the report noted the Greed & Fear Index has returned to historically depressed levels. The stochastic indicator is also deeply oversold, with Bitcoin trading at least two standard deviations below its weekly moving average.
Key technical levels highlighted include $61,576 as potential support and Bitcoin’s Realized Price, around $54,591, as a key reference for undervaluation. “History suggests that while prices may briefly dip below this level, they rarely remain there for long,” the report noted.
The macro piece of the puzzle is inflation, with the firm directly comparing the current environment to 2022. It noted that cooling inflation helped mark the cycle low then, suggesting something similar may be needed now.
Bitcoin recently broke below the long-held $60,000 support, bottoming just above $59,000 last Friday. At the time of writing, the asset had dipped back below $63,000, down over 22% across 30 days.
Much of the recent volatility has been linked to geopolitics, specifically the ongoing conflict between the United States and Iran. The researchers believe the market may still need one to three months before a confirmed reversal appears.
