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HomeNewsTom Lee Forecasts Bear Market, Then Historic Rally, Eyes S&P 500 at...

Tom Lee Forecasts Bear Market, Then Historic Rally, Eyes S&P 500 at 7,300

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Fundstrat Managing Partner Tom Lee has outlined a potential market scenario where the S&P 500 could rally to 7,300 before a significant drawdown. Lee’s analysis, cited on social media, notes historical volatility following new Federal Reserve chair appointments. He suggests a subsequent bear market phase could ultimately give way to a powerful rally, framing it as a final shakeout before a major upward move.


Tom Lee of Fundstrat has shared analysis indicating a potential volatile market setup ahead. His views, gaining attention on X, suggest the S&P 500 could first advance toward 7,300 before a substantial decline.

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Lee referenced historical data showing 10 of 13 new Fed chairs triggered a market drawdown exceeding 10% in their first year. He described a sequence where initial optimism pushes markets higher, followed by a decline that will feel like a bear market.

“Then comes a decline that will feel like a bear market. After that, Tom Lee sees one of the strongest rallies of our lifetime,” according to a post by BMNR bullz. The analysis characterizes this as one more shakeout before a major move.

The broader market is currently experiencing volatility, with the S&P 500 closing lower recently. This decline erased approximately $420 billion in market capitalization following geopolitical developments.

“BREAKING: The S&P 500 closes lower, erasing -$420 billion in market cap, as Iran makes a ‘final decision’ to not attend talks with the US in Pakistan tomorrow,” as stated by The Kobeissi Letter. This event highlights the index’s present sensitivity to external factors.

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