Binance’s XRP reserves have fallen to approximately 2.61 billion tokens, their lowest level since February, and have remained at that level since the start of July. While the Ripple token was sliding toward $1.06 during the reserve drain, it reversed course in the last 24 hours, gaining over 3%. According to CryptoQuant contributor Arab Chain, no meaningful inflows have replenished Binance’s XRP stockpile in recent months. A falling exchange balance is often considered bullish, but selling pressure persisted, as indicated by a negative Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) score of -6.93 million. XRP now trades around $1.11, up 3.7% in the last day, yet remains down 7% over the past month and 61% over the past year. Analysts are divided on the next direction.
Binance’s XRP reserves have dropped to about 2.61 billion tokens, a level not seen since February, and have stabilized there since early July. According to CryptoQuant contributor Arab Chain, the absence of meaningful inflows has kept the reserve figure near that low.
A declining exchange balance is often interpreted as a bullish signal, as it suggests investors are moving tokens to private wallets rather than preparing to sell. However, Arab Chain noted that XRP had been falling to around $1.06 while reserves were emptying, indicating that liquidity, trading activity, and sentiment outweighed the effect of declining exchange supply.
The Binance CVD Confirmation Score, which blends price with Cumulative Volume Delta, stands at -6.93 million, meaning sell orders have exceeded buys as XRP fell from above $2.00 earlier this year toward the $1.07 area. The 30-day Price-CVD Confirmation Score remains near 0.84, a figure Arab Chain describes as reasonably healthy but still insufficient to confirm a genuine shift in buying demand. Only a sustained move into positive CVD territory with a stronger confirmation score would signal a real reversal.
Despite these pressures, XRP gained about 3.7% in the last 24 hours, trading around $1.11 after oscillating between $1.07 and $1.12. The asset is still down 7% over the past month and more than 61% across one year, though daily trading volume jumped 31% to $1.26 billion.
Market watchers are split on the outlook. Trader Diana pointed to $1.08 as a key level, warning that losing it could send XRP toward the $0.90–$0.93 zone before a final flush to $0.87 macro support. Fellow analyst CasiTrades holds a similar technical view, telling followers on X that a drop toward $0.87 would “finish off the correction we’ve spent the last year building.”
Others focus on longer-term patterns. Crypto Patel argues that XRP is tracing a pattern that historically preceded rallies of more than 1,000%. Investor Celal Kucuker cited a 500% monthly gain two years ago as a reason not to dismiss a $7 target by year-end.
